Preparations for November 4 have intensified with the direct registration of candidatures in the union and state on October 23. In reality, the election is being held between Nepali Congress and CPN (UML).
Fearing that they will end their existence if they fight alone, the Maoists, Unified Socialists, Democratic Socialists and the Janamorcha have taken over the Congress, while the ruling coalition failed to reach an agreement at the last minute, and the Janata Samajwadi UML has come together. RPP has also sought the support of UML. In other words, except Nemkipa, which was represented in the last parliament, any party went to the election alone this timeWith the election campaign, the process of assessing the possible election results has started. Those who do not understand politics with speed and stay away from what is happening in the field are busy calculating the results of the last local elections. Since the election will be between two poles, it is certain that public opinion will be divided in the same way.
CPN (UML) is taking advantage of the confusion, ambiguity and directionlessness of the ruling coalition. Because, they have no other agenda than insulting KP Oli. The coalition which succeeded in winning even five judges of the Supreme Court by showing the ghost of Oli has not been able to give anything new except showing the same ghost to the people.
It has been 15 months since he came to the government, he has not been able to break any sin. However, even now, the speeches of the leaders and ministers of the ruling party have not been able to rise above that the government of KP Oli did this, did that, and failed to do this. Those who criticize that KP Oli wanted to make his name by laying the foundation stone and opening it, if he had done it in 15 months, Oli’s mouth would have been shut. However, this is the strongest agenda for Oli and UML as they are busy with the frog.
The coalition government has turned out to be completely directionless as the coalition has turned to five and has to fulfill everyone’s unsatisfied aspirations. Big interests of big leaders are attached to every decision it makes. It can be assumed that this will be one of the main basis of evaluation by the people in the election, as it has been seen that the state has been in the hands of middlemen in the work from budget making to granting licenses to financial companies.
After the establishment of the constitution, when the country should go for faster economic development, seeing that the development has stalled due to the politics of division, the basis for this coalition to ask for votes has weakened.
When the main opposition CPN (UML) entered the elections with its leadership and agenda, the ruling coalition appeared defensive from the beginning. UML has put forward President KP Oli as the future Prime Minister. However, when you ask any leader of the ruling party who is your leader in the election, there is no way to get any name. There is no other option but to remain silent as the alliance will be ruined if someone’s name is mentioned.
Even though the alliance is the same, people have seen their stakes of Sher Bahadur Deuba and Pushpa Kamal Dahal. In order to remain the prime minister anyway, Deuba has distributed the seats to the Maoists, while Dahal himself has been out of power for five years and wants to become the prime minister anyway after the election.
There is no need to count the leaders who split the party for the sake of office. It is clear that Dahal, who does not hesitate to form an alliance with anyone for his positional ambitions, will not stay in this alliance if he does not get the chance to become the Prime Minister. Knowing this, Deuba has limited the Maoists to the minimum number of seats.
Maoist, which claims to be a bigger communist party than UML, has contested in 46 out of 165 seats. Meanwhile, a large number of leaders and activists have left the Maoist party. The Maoists have been on the decline in every election since 2064, each time losing a significant amount of votes.
It seems that the downward journey of Maoists is progressing rapidly. Therefore, in this election, it is certain that the general voters will get a clear impression that Maoist will no longer be a decisive force and it cannot become a big party.